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Boston College

Boston College · 2026 · ACC

Efficiency
-12.6
115th FBS
Record
1-1
Conf. record
Conf. finish
17th
proj. of 17
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Boston College is 1-1 and ranked 115th in overall efficiency. Their 85th-ranked defense carries them, with a 131st-ranked offense. They run the ball on 50% of offensive plays with a 90th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with an 110th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+3 left
Q2
0-1
+3 left
Q3
0-0
+1 left
Q4
1-0
+3 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.2 wins
Strength of Record
99th
-0.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
67th
full season
25th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
23rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ CincinnatiBig 12#57L 1534-19.30%-18.6Q2
2vs RutgersBig Ten#122W 2821+4.9100%-11.1Q4
3vs MaineCoastal AthleticPreview+25.793%Q4
4vs Virginia TechACC#37Preview-17.615%Q2
5@ SMUACC#20Preview-29.74%Q1
7vs PittsburghACC#27Preview-21.211%Q2
8@ Georgia TechACC#93Preview-9.329%Q4
9@ DukeACC#44Preview-21.310%Q2
10vs Florida StateACC#49Preview-15.718%Q3
11@ Notre DameFBS Independents#1Preview-40.61%Q1
12vs SyracuseACC#71Preview-7.732%Q4
13@ Miami-FLACC#7Preview-37.91%Q1

2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Boston College, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-17.1-9.3-1.5-19-11Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 110th
SR 115thYPP 93rdEPA 112th
RushingEff 90th
SR 104thYPP 76thEPA 78th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 68th
SR 70thYPP 70thEPA 62nd
Rush defenseEff 95th
SR 59thYPP 112thEPA 97th
Dropback rate 50%Tempo +1.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 86th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 36%1st · Defense allowed: 36%1st2nd · Offense: 50%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 33%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 14.0Q1 · Allowed: 3.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 6.0Q2 · Allowed: 14.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 7.0Q3 · Allowed: 21.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 14.0Q4 · Allowed: 17.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledBoston CollegeOffenseDefense
Boston College Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 131st
-11.3
Field position: -1.6Finishing drives: -9.7
Field position -1.6Finishing drives -9.7= -11.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 118th · Finishing 131st

Defensive EffRanked 85th
-2.4
Field position: -1.0Finishing drives: -1.4
Field position -1.0Finishing drives -1.4= -2.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 110th · Finishing 80th

1.87 points per drive on offense, 2.26 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 25.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(30)43% / 57%40%7.4
Q2(36)58% / 42%25%3.9
Q3(20)40% / 60%55%6.3
Q4(44)57% / 43%45%6.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(22)10.041%7.5
2nd(22)8.536%6.0
3rd(19)6.732%8.7
4th(4)5.025%1.3
All (67)36%7.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(34)10.032%4.7
2nd(22)7.064%6.1
3rd(6)10.533%3.7
4th(1)3.0100%6.0
All (63)44%5.1

Boston College, all games.